Fred Watson, Jr provides an interesting meditation on what comes next for the GOP at The American Sun. In Regime Problems he reflects on the Democrats’ dilemma regarding whether or not to use the moment to really crush the Republicans or to retain the party as a sort of loyal opposition.
Keeping the GOP alive creates another problem as well. We could call this the Bolsonaro moment. Right wing Brazilians in the mid-’10s thought that no matter how bad the regime ruled, there would never be a route to win again. Bolsonaro showed up in a crisis moment. If the GOP is allowed to live, that infrastructure is there to be used and deployed to elect someone like Trump but wiser to the game. America will become like Latin American republics where there are neolib administrations, socialist administrations, and then after those terms wreck the nation, the caudillo emerges to clean it up and restart the cycle.
Except the left has shown their hand. No next caudillo would take power and not go much further than Trump ever dreamed of going. It would not be an all talk or tweet Boomer. This is why democracy is done. It is too dangerous to the regime.
Maybe… securely in power, the left will govern well now knowing they never have to worry about an election again. Maybe… the left will rule with extreme anger against the natives and fumble every challenge.
The regime does have to rule well. All indications are that they will not. All indications are they will make half the nation untouchable. They will be unchallengeable due to their hold on the levers of powers and their lock on procedures, which will be managed by their trained administrators passing their implicit and explicit loyalty oaths. They will make it overt who owns the results. Forcing them to shed their camouflage, this now makes them an identifiable bloc to replace.
Overall, an interesting read as we watch the hammer drop!